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MG01MusicGOAT Index

The short answer

Is James Arthur greater than AURORA?

Not by the default All-Time score: AURORA leads by 0.1 points.

Quick verdict

Not by default

AURORA opens with a 0.1-point lead in the all-time score.

James Arthur

71.2

AURORA

71.3

James Arthur

#935 all-time · Classification under review

All-time score71.2

James Arthur appears in the provisional Music GOAT Index. Ranking scores remain visible while biographical and classification details are under review.

Opening verdict

AURORA

Leads by 0.1 points

Leads

AURORA

#933 all-time · Classification under review

All-time score71.3

AURORA appears in the provisional Music GOAT Index. Ranking scores remain visible while biographical and classification details are under review.

The plain case

Why the answer lands here

Not by the default All-Time score: AURORA leads by 0.1 points. The result is still open to argument: inspect the full breakdown, move the weights and see whether it survives your version of greatness.

Biggest category edge

Influence

AURORA

owns a 3.0-point edge here

3.0

The current leader at a Peak weight of 15.0% is AURORA. Changing Peak from 15.0% to 19.1% flips the lead to James Arthur; all other unlocked weights are rebalanced proportionally to keep the total at 100%.

AURORA leads James Arthur by 0.1 points in All-Time Ranking.

James Arthur

Classification under review

Scoring result71.2

Wins 1 of 6 active categories · 4 level

Current margin

0.1

AURORA leads this version.

Current leader

AURORA

Classification under review

Scoring result71.3

Wins 1 of 6 active categories · 4 level

The verdict

AURORA wins this scorecard.

The edge is 0.1 points in All-Time Ranking. James Arthur still has category wins worth arguing below.

The strongest weighted drivers for AURORA are Influence (3.0 raw gap at 20% weight). 2 zero-weight context lenses are outside this verdict.

All-time list
MGI model 3.3.0July 2026 · MGI v3.3 archive6 factors counted2 context lenses

Commercial, Live are outside this verdict. Unavailable values stay N/A and are never treated as zero.

The current leader at a Peak weight of 15.0% is AURORA. Changing Peak from 15.0% to 19.1% flips the lead to James Arthur; all other unlocked weights are rebalanced proportionally to keep the total at 100%.

Verdict logicWhy this verdict: AURORAAll-time list: Public attention, Current, Influence · 0.1 pts from James Arthur
All-time listNot counted here: Commercial + LiveUnavailable: Commercial + Live

AURORA lands here because Public attention, Current and Influence do most of the work in this view. Commercial and Live are unavailable until reviewed evidence exists and cannot change this verdict.

AURORA sits 0.1 points from James Arthur in this scorecard; the next move would most likely come through Catalog and Longevity. Commercial and Live remain unavailable until reviewed evidence exists; this verdict is not recalculated with hidden replacement values.

What helps

Public attention25.2% of this score
Public attention score90.0
Provisional evidenceDerived evidence · 1/5 fieldsModel confidence highWeight 20

Provisional score retained from the published edition. Supporting narrative is withheld while classification and source context are reviewed.

Current18.9% of this score
Current score90.0
Provisional evidenceDerived evidence · 1/6 fieldsModel confidence highWeight 15

Provisional score retained from the published edition. Supporting narrative is withheld while classification and source context are reviewed.

Influence18.8% of this score
Influence score67.0
Provisional evidenceEditorial judgment · 1/5 fieldsModel confidence highWeight 20

Provisional score retained from the published edition. Supporting narrative is withheld while classification and source context are reviewed.

What could move it

Catalog and Longevity are the softest scoring factors; movement there matters most near James Arthur.

More checking on Public attention, Influence and Current would improve confidence before it changes the public score.

Commercial and Live remain unavailable until reviewed observation records pass; no alternate rank is published.

What decided it

The strongest weighted gaps

Influence+0.6 pts

3.0 raw gap × 20% weight · edge to AURORA

Peak+0.5 pts

3.0 raw gap × 15% weight · edge to James Arthur

Active score parts

What decides this verdict

1-1 · 4 level
InfluenceCurated cultural and peer influence tier.Open AURORA profile
James Arthur64.0
AURORA67.0
PeakHow dominant the strongest era felt relative to peers.Open James Arthur profile
James Arthur72.0
AURORA69.0
CatalogDepth, spread and durability of the catalog.Level
James Arthur51.0
AURORA51.0
CurrentShort-window current-interest context derived from a dated Wikimedia Pageviews observation; it is not listening, sales or artistic quality.Level
James Arthur90.0
AURORA90.0
LongevityActive years, persistence and legacy after the first peak.Level
James Arthur56.0
AURORA56.0
Public attentionLong-horizon editorial cultural-footprint judgment. The frozen v3.3 compatibility score historically used a retired short-window Wikimedia Pageviews proxy; it remains provisional until replaced in a reviewed edition.Level
James Arthur90.0
AURORA90.0

Context only · zero weight

Useful context, outside this verdict

These gaps are visible for the debate, but they do not count until you raise their sliders or choose another view.

CommercialCommercial tier, sales evidence, certifications and scale.Not comparable
James ArthurN/A
AURORAN/A
LiveLive/touring reputation and durable concert draw.Not comparable
James ArthurN/A
AURORAN/A

Keep arguing

Best next moves

FAQ

James Arthur vs AURORA questions

James Arthur or AURORA: who leads the All-Time score?

Not by the default All-Time score: AURORA leads by 0.1 points. The published score is 71.2 vs 71.3; unavailable values remain N/A and are never scored as zero.

What is the biggest active category edge in James Arthur vs AURORA?

Influence is the biggest available active edge, with a 3.0-point gap for AURORA.

Can the answer change?

Yes, when you change available score parts. A formula that gives positive weight to unavailable Commercial or Live evidence is rejected rather than silently rewritten.

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